1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Odds Movement Analysis | Bundesliga | 168 Tips

Bundesliga 2026-10-17 21:30
1. FC Union Berlin1. FC Union Berlin
VS
Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Opening Record Time Last Update Prefix 2026-10-17 11:59:33
Pre Match High Freq Until Kickoff
Stake Stake BetWinner BetWinner 1xBet 1xBet

Snapshot Title

Snapshot Latest
Handicap 1.05 +1 0.84
Over Under 1.02 3/3.5 0.86
Europe 5.38 | 4.40 | 1.55
Probability 17.6% | 21.5% | 61.0%

Signal Summary Title

Market State Title: Market State Moving
Market Consensus Label
Market State Dominant
European Odds moved toward the away side, while the other core signals did not match it. Evidence Label: 4.57 → 5.29
Market State Agreement
Insufficient
Market State Coverage
Handicap
Market State Evidence
1
Market Signals Title
🔴 Home price up ★★★★★
Supporting Signals Title
Home price up4.57 → 5.292026-10-17 09:43:38★★★★★
Strength Label ★★★★★ There is not enough cross-market movement for a directional summary. Live Monitoring Label: Pre Match High Freq Time To Kickoff Label: Until Kickoff Market State Latest: 2026-10-17 11:59:33

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Key Movements Title

5
10-17 09:43Home price up★★★★★Key Movement Line10-17 07:42Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-17 03:41Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-17 04:48Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line10-17 02:28Home price up★★★★☆Key Movement Line
Key Movements View Timeline

Handicap

Of
Comment TitleThe handicap tier stayed the same and the away-side water shifted.
History Title
10-10 10:380.81 +1 1.07Opening
10-15 05:451.12 +0.75 0.84Up Line
10-15 15:140.92 +1 0.96Down Line
10-17 11:591.05 +1 0.84No Change
0.810.971.1211529Home WaterAway Water+1
Timeline Title
10-10 10:38 Opening
+1
10-15 05:45
+0.75
10-15 15:14
+1
10-17 11:59 Latest
+1
29
Record Count
2
Change Count
1
Up Count
1
Down Count
Magnitude
★★★★★

Over Under

Of
Comment TitleNo significant total (over/under) movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-10 10:380.98 3/3.5 0.90Opening
10-17 11:591.02 3/3.5 0.86No Change
0.830.951.0611529OverUnder3/3.5
Timeline Title
10-10 10:38 Opening
3/3.5（0.98 / 0.90）
10-17 11:59 Latest
3/3.5（1.02 / 0.86）
29
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Up Count
0
Down Count
Magnitude
No Change

Europe

Of
Comment TitleThe home 1X2 price increased by a large amount.
History Title
10-10 10:384.57 / 4.23 / 1.64Opening
10-17 11:595.38 / 4.40 / 1.55No Change
1.553.465.3811529HomeDrawAway
Timeline Title
10-10 10:38 Opening
4.57 / 4.23 / 1.64
10-17 11:59 Latest
5.38 / 4.40 / 1.55
29
Record Count
0
Change Count
0
Home Odds Change
0
Away Odds Change
Magnitude
No Change

Probability

Of
Comment TitleNo significant win-probability movement recorded yet.
History Title
10-10 10:3820.6% / 22.2% / 57.3%Opening
10-17 11:5917.6% / 21.5% / 61.0%No Change
17.639.361.011529Home%Draw%Away%
Timeline Title
10-10 10:38 Opening
20.55%
10-17 11:59 Latest
17.56%
29
Record Count
0
Change Count
-2.99%
Home Prob Cumulative
±0.78%
Max Single Move
Magnitude
No Change

Title

Count Suffix
10-17 09:43
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.28 points to 60.54% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:43
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.7 points to 17.85% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 09:43
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.56 (-4.9%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 09:43
🔴Home price up★★★★★
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.29 (+15.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 07:42
🟢Away win prob. up★★☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 3.01 points to 60.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 07:42
🔴Home win prob. down★☆☆☆☆
Home win probability decreased by 2.53 points to 18.02% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 07:42
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.57 (-4.3%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 07:42
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.25 (+14.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 04:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.45 points to 59.71% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 04:48
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.07 (+10.9%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 04:48
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.58 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 03:41
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.44 points to 59.7% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 03:41
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.08 (+11.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 02:28
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.24 points to 59.5% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 02:28
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.06 (+10.7%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-17 02:28
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.59 (-3.0%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-17 00:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.2 points to 59.46% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-17 00:48
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.04 (+10.3%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 23:14
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.22 points to 59.48% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 23:14
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.05 (+10.5%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 21:09
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.15 points to 59.41% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 21:09
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.02 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 19:00
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.16 points to 59.42% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 19:00
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.01 (+9.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 17:34
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.04 points to 59.3% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 17:34
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.98 (+9.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 15:14
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.01 points to 59.27% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 15:14
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.97 (+8.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 13:18
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.36 points to 59.62% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-16 13:18
🔴Home price up★★★★☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.03 (+10.1%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-16 13:18
🟢Away price down★★☆☆☆
Away win odds dropped from 1.64 to 1.58 (-3.7%) - away side attracting more attention.
10-16 02:33
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.33 points to 59.59% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 18:48
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.31 points to 59.57% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 18:48
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 5.02 (+9.8%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 15:14
🟢Away win prob. up★☆☆☆☆
Away win probability increased by 2.18 points to 59.44% - market probability distribution shifted.
10-15 15:14
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.99 (+9.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 05:45
🔴Home price up★★★☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.8 (+5.0%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-15 05:45
🟢Handicap up★☆☆☆☆
Handicap moved from -1 to -0.5/-1, up 1 steps (0.25 goals) from opening - handicap shifted toward home side.
10-14 21:08
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.78 (+4.6%) - market confidence in away side easing.
10-14 12:03
🔴Home price up★★☆☆☆
Away win odds rose from 4.57 to 4.76 (+4.2%) - market confidence in away side easing.

Overview Title

Overview All Modules
10-10 10:38
Opening RecordOpening Short
10-15 05:45
Handicap Up LineHandicap
10-15 15:14
Handicap Down LineHandicap

Overview Stats Title

2
Handicap Changes
0
Ou Changes
0
Odds Changes
0
Prob Changes
29
Total Records
8Day Unit
Monitor Days
★★★★★
Market Activity
High Freq
Monitor Level
Pre Match High Freq
Current Status　·　Until Kickoff
Market Heat Change
10-11
10-12
10-13
10-14
10-15
10-16
10-17
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